Yen Rate Today - Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata has emphasized the need to consider changing its ultra-loose monetary policy, including the option to exit negative interest rates and yield curve control. In his speech, Takata highlighted the importance of agile and flexible responses, including exiting yield curve control and adjusting the BOJ's commitment to expanding its monetary base until inflation stabilizes above 2%. Despite economic uncertainties, Takata remains optimistic about achieving the 2% inflation target, referencing changes in corporate practices regarding wages and prices.
The dollar has declined by 0.33%, reaching 150.21 yen, while 10-year government bonds rose by 1.5 basis points to 0.710%. Market participants view these statements as indications of a possible easing of the ultra-loose policy.
In the context of massive stimulus, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) currently sets short-term interest rates at minus 0.1%, caps 10-year government bond yields around 0%, and continues to purchase assets like government bonds.
Hajime Takata's comments specifically addressed the exit from Yield Curve Control (YCC) and negative interest rate policies, which have influenced market movements. This signals that policy normalization is approaching, although the BOJ has not detailed its exit strategy.
Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida previously stated that the BOJ would review other components of its stimulus framework after ending negative interest rates.
Despite the Japanese economy facing recession, the BOJ is expected to end negative interest rates in the coming months. Polls indicate that over 80% of economists predict the BOJ will raise short-term interest rates out of negative territory in April, with some speculating it could happen as early as the March meeting.
Despite many analysts anticipating the end of negative interest rate policies, the BOJ assures that the next interest rate hikes will be small-scale, which has driven the yen down to around 150 against the dollar. This raises the likelihood of Japanese government intervention to buy yen.
Japanese currency diplomat Masato Kanda warned against excessive yen weakness, stating Tokyo's readiness to take "appropriate" actions if currency movements are deemed too volatile, as he expressed during the G20 meeting in Sao Paulo.
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